Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello

FutureRadar Desk
3 min leituraPolymarket
6d 15h left
Volume: $250K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello

Probabilidades do mercado

Alice Tubello100.0%
Over100.0%
Under 2.5100.0%
Under100.0%
Tatjana Maria0.5%
Over 2.50.1%

Volume: $249,512

Total Vol: $249,51224h: $249,512Liquidity: $155,336

As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.

Visão geral do mercado

This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Alice Tubello in the Sopo, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. — Odds: Alice Tubello 100.0% · Over 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Tatjana Maria 0.5%

Fonte de dados: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 19일 오전 02:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Alice Tubello" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Alice Tubello (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Over (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

Under 2.5 (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fonte original

Polymarket

Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
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