Costa do Sauipe: Daniel Galan vs Gonzalo Bueno
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Volume: $462,050
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ภาพรวมตลาด
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Galan and Gonzalo Bueno in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. — Odds: Daniel Galan 50.0% · Gonzalo Bueno 50.0% · Completed Match 0.4%
แหล่งข้อมูล: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 11일 오전 04:30
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Daniel Galan" scenario leads at 50%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Daniel Galan (50%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (50%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 30%
Gonzalo Bueno (50%)
Alternative scenario with 50% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (0%)
Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 6 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 6 days (short-term)
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