M15 Antalya: Vladimir Osminkin vs Antoni Fabre

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M15 Antalya: Vladimir Osminkin vs Antoni Fabre

ความน่าจะเป็นของตลาด

Antoni Fabre82.0%
Vladimir Osminkin18.0%

Volume: $223,046

Total Vol: $223,04624h: $286,474Liquidity: $20,590

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ภาพรวมตลาด

This market refers to the tennis match between Vladimir Osminkin and Antoni Fabre in the M15 Antalya, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. — Odds: Antoni Fabre 82.0% · Vladimir Osminkin 18.0%

แหล่งข้อมูล: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 17일 오후 06:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Antoni Fabre" scenario leads at 82%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case82%

Antoni Fabre (82%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (82%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 62%

Base Case18%

Vladimir Osminkin (18%)

Alternative scenario with 18% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case18%

Low probability scenario (18%)

Currently rated at 18%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
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