Villa Maria: Ian Luca Vertberger vs Denis Klok
市場機率
Volume: $389,019
機率反映集體市場情緒，不構成投資建議。
市場概覽
This market refers to the tennis match between Ian Luca Vertberger and Denis Klok in the Villa Maria, Argentina, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:10AM ET. — Odds: Ian Luca Vertberger 100.0% · Over 99.5% · Under 99.5% · Denis Klok 50.0% · Over 2.5 50.0%
數據來源: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 8일 오후 11:10
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Ian Luca Vertberger" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Ian Luca Vertberger (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Over (100%)
Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Under (100%)
Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 6 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 6 days (short-term)