LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

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3 min readPolymarket
19h 2m left
Volume: $414K
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LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

市場機率

Bilibili Gaming89.5%
Dplus KIA82.5%
Over75.5%
Under64.5%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%
Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%

Volume: $414,028

Total Vol: $414,02824h: $220,068Liquidity: $2,865,809

機率反映集體市場情緒,不構成投資建議。

市場概覽

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between Dplus KIA and Bilibili Gaming in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. — Odds: Bilibili Gaming 89.5% · Dplus KIA 82.5% · Over 75.5% · Under 64.5% · Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50.0%

數據來源: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 6일 오후 01:00

D-1

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Bilibili Gaming" scenario leads at 90%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case90%

Bilibili Gaming (90%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (90%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 70%

Base Case83%

Dplus KIA (83%)

Alternative scenario with 83% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case76%

Over (76%)

Currently rated at 76%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution expected tomorrow

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
原始來源

Polymarket

此分析基於Polymarket預測市場數據。

View on Polymarket
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