Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz
市場機率
Volume: $220,199
機率反映集體市場情緒，不構成投資建議。
市場概覽
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. — Odds: Over 69.0% · Carlos Alcaraz 50.5% · Under 50.5% · Under 2.5 50.5% · Matteo Berrettini 50.5%
數據來源: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 13일 오전 03:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 69%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Over (69%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (69%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 49%
Carlos Alcaraz (51%)
Alternative scenario with 51% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Under (51%)
Currently rated at 51%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in ~2 weeks (medium-term)
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