FutureRadar
Tennis·Sports·Games

Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
6d 22h left
Volume: $291K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton

市場機率

Luca Van Assche97.5%
Over76.0%
Over 2.562.0%
Ben Shelton62.0%
Completed Match55.0%
Under50.0%
Under 2.538.0%

Volume: $290,957

Total Vol: $290,95724h: $394,842Liquidity: $277,721

機率反映集體市場情緒，不構成投資建議。

市場概覽

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Ben Shelton in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. — Odds: Luca Van Assche 97.5% · Over 76.0% · Over 2.5 62.0% · Ben Shelton 62.0% · Completed Match 55.0%

數據來源: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 14일 오후 10:30

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Luca Van Assche" scenario leads at 98%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case98%

Luca Van Assche (98%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (98%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 78%

Base Case76%

Over (76%)

Alternative scenario with 76% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case62%

Over 2.5 (62%)

Currently rated at 62%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
原始來源

Polymarket

此分析基於Polymarket預測市場數據。

View on Polymarket
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