Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
市場機率
Volume: $177,149
機率反映集體市場情緒，不構成投資建議。
市場概覽
This market refers to the tennis match between Billy Harris and Liam Broady in the Matsuyama, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. — Odds: Over 99.6% · Billy Harris 90.5% · Completed Match 55.0% · Liam Broady 50.0% · Under 0.4%
數據來源: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 16일 오전 09:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Over (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Billy Harris (91%)
Alternative scenario with 91% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Completed Match (55%)
Currently rated at 55%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 9?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport (ZGSZ) on 9 Nov '26. — Odds: 28°C 99.9% · 27°C 0.1% · 26°C 0.1% · 25°C 0.1% · 24°C 0.1%