Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
6d 21h left
Volume: $170K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton

市場機率

Over100.0%
Lui Maxted99.6%
Hynek Barton4.5%
Under0.1%

Volume: $169,981

Total Vol: $169,98124h: $175,682Liquidity: $100,338

機率反映集體市場情緒,不構成投資建議。

市場概覽

This market refers to the tennis match between Lui Maxted and Hynek Barton in the Knoxville, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Over 100.0% · Lui Maxted 99.6% · Hynek Barton 4.5% · Under 0.1%

數據來源: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 18일 오전 12:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Over (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Lui Maxted (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case5%

Low probability scenario (5%)

Currently rated at 5%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
原始來源

Polymarket

此分析基於Polymarket預測市場數據。

View on Polymarket
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This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Daniel Altmaier in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: Daniel Altmaier 100.0% · Adrien Gobat 0.1%

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