Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue

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3 min readPolymarket
6d 21h left
Volume: $227K
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Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue

Marktwahrscheinlichkeiten

Sofya Lansere100.0%
Under100.0%
Completed Match100.0%
Under 2.5100.0%
Noma Noha Akugue0.1%
Over0.1%
Over 2.50.1%

Volume: $227,449

Total Vol: $227,44924h: $324,981Liquidity: $194,177

Die Wahrscheinlichkeiten spiegeln die kollektive Marktstimmung wider. Keine Anlageberatung.

Marktübersicht

This market refers to the tennis match between Sofya Lansere and Noma Noha Akugue in the Luanda, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. — Odds: Sofya Lansere 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Noma Noha Akugue 0.1%

Datenquelle: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 14일 오후 09:30

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Sofya Lansere" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Sofya Lansere (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Under (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

Completed Match (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Originalquelle

Polymarket

Diese Analyse basiert auf Polymarket-Prognosemarktdaten.

View on Polymarket
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This market refers to the tennis match between Janice Tjen and Robin Montgomery in the Chennai Open, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. — Odds: Completed Match 100.0%

·Polymarket