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Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

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3 min lecturaPolymarket
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Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

Probabilidades del mercado

TheMongolz100.0%
Over100.0%
FURIA100.0%
Under91.0%

Volume: $2,364,568

Total Vol: $2,364,56824h: $2,427,523Liquidity: $1,231,245

Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.

Resumen del mercado

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between TheMongolz and FURIA in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. — Odds: TheMongolz 100.0% · Over 100.0% · FURIA 100.0% · Under 91.0%

Fuente de datos: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 5일 오전 12:30

D-Day

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "TheMongolz" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

TheMongolz (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Over (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

FURIA (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Awaiting resolution or already resolved

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fuente original

Polymarket

Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.

View on Polymarket
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