Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz
Probabilidades del mercado
Volume: $194,723
Las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento colectivo del mercado. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Resumen del mercado
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. — Odds: Over 57.5% · Carlos Alcaraz 55.0% · Under 52.0% · Matteo Berrettini 51.5% · Under 2.5 50.5%
Fuente de datos: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 13일 오전 03:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 57%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Over (57%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (57%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 37%
Carlos Alcaraz (55%)
Alternative scenario with 55% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Under (52%)
Currently rated at 52%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in ~2 weeks (medium-term)
Polymarket
Este análisis se basa en datos del mercado de predicciones de Polymarket.
View on Polymarket
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