Dota 2: angry birds vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A

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Dota 2: angry birds vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A

Market Probabilities

Both Teams Beat Roshan90.0%
Any Player Ultra Kill10.0%
Any Player Rampage10.0%

Volume: $181,770

Total Vol: $181,77024h: $181,780Liquidity: $108,366

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between angry birds and Ka4kanarskie cyxariki in the 1win Essence Play-in Group A, initially scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. — Odds: Both Teams Beat Roshan 90.0% · Any Player Ultra Kill 10.0% · Any Player Rampage 10.0%

Based on Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 10일 오전 04:10

D-Day

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Both Teams Beat Roshan" scenario leads at 90%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case90%

Both Teams Beat Roshan (90%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (90%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 70%

Base Case10%

Any Player Ultra Kill (10%)

Alternative scenario with 10% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case10%

Low probability scenario (10%)

Currently rated at 10%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution expected tomorrow

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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Dota 2: Team Lynx vs potn9ki (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B
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Dota 2: Team Lynx vs potn9ki (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Lynx and potn9ki in the Asgard Championship Group B, initially scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. — Odds: Team Lynx 100.0% · Over 100.0% · potn9ki 100.0% · Ends in Daytime 10.0% · Both Teams Beat Roshan 10.0%

·Polymarket