Dota 2: Team Allied vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B

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Volume: $314K
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Dota 2: Team Allied vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B

Market Probabilities

Both Teams Beat Roshan50.0%
Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%
Any Player Rampage25.5%

Volume: $313,549

Total Vol: $313,54924h: $313,549Liquidity: $5

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Allied and Team Lynx in the Asgard Championship Group B, initially scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. — Odds: Both Teams Beat Roshan 50.0% · Any Player Ultra Kill 50.0% · Any Player Rampage 25.5%

Based on Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 5일 오전 11:00

D-Day

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Both Teams Beat Roshan" scenario leads at 50%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case50%

Both Teams Beat Roshan (50%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (50%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 30%

Base Case50%

Any Player Ultra Kill (50%)

Alternative scenario with 50% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case26%

Any Player Rampage (26%)

Currently rated at 26%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution expected tomorrow

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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