Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
Market Probabilities
Volume: $334,827
Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.
Market Overview
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between TheMongolz and Natus Vincere in the IEM Beijing Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 1:30 AM ET. — Odds: Under 73.5% · Natus Vincere 68.5% · TheMongolz 59.5% · Over 48.0%
Based on Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 7일 오후 09:30
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Under" scenario leads at 74%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Under (74%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (74%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 54%
Natus Vincere (69%)
Alternative scenario with 69% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
TheMongolz (60%)
Currently rated at 60%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution expected tomorrow
Polymarket
This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.
View on Polymarket
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