LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

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5d 18h left
Volume: $119K
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Market Probabilities

Bilibili Gaming80.0%
Over74.0%
Under64.0%
Gen.G62.5%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%
Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%

Volume: $118,621

Total Vol: $118,62124h: $121,361Liquidity: $667,973

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between Bilibili Gaming and Gen.G in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. — Odds: Bilibili Gaming 80.0% · Over 74.0% · Under 64.0% · Gen.G 62.5% · Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50.0%

Based on Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 15일 오전 10:00

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Bilibili Gaming" scenario leads at 80%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case80%

Bilibili Gaming (80%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (80%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 60%

Base Case74%

Over (74%)

Alternative scenario with 74% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case64%

Under (64%)

Currently rated at 64%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 6 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 6 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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