What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
市場確率
Volume: $2,161,921
確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。
マーケット概要
What price will Bitcoin hit in November? — Odds: ↑ 77,500 90.3% · ↓ 75,000 78.5% · ↑ 80,000 67.5% · ↓ 72,500 56.5% · ↑ 82,500 45.5%
データ出典: Polymarket.
Market End
Live12월 1일 오후 02:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "↑ 77,500" scenario leads at 90%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
↑ 77,500 (90%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (90%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 70%
↓ 75,000 (79%)
Alternative scenario with 79% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
↑ 80,000 (68%)
Currently rated at 68%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in ~4 weeks (medium-term)
Related Assets
- •BTC: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels