M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Artur Kukasian vs Koray Kirci
市場確率
Volume: $237,216
確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。
マーケット概要
This market refers to the tennis match between Artur Kukasian and Koray Kirci in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. — Odds: Artur Kukasian 99.8% · Koray Kirci 0.3%
データ出典: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 11일 오후 07:30
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Artur Kukasian" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Artur Kukasian (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Koray Kirci (0%)
Alternative scenario with 0% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (0%)
Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
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