What price will Ethereum hit November 2-8?
市場確率
Volume: $631,943
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マーケット概要
What price will Ethereum hit November 2-8? — Odds: ↑ 2,300 76.0% · ↓ 2,200 55.5% · ↑ 2,400 20.0% · ↓ 2,100 16.3% · ↑ 2,500 6.5%
データ出典: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 9일 오후 02:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "↑ 2,300" scenario leads at 76%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
↑ 2,300 (76%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (76%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 56%
↓ 2,200 (56%)
Alternative scenario with 56% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
↑ 2,400 (20%)
Currently rated at 20%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 4 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 4 days (short-term)
Related Assets
- •ETH: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels
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