Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
5d 13h left
Volume: $313K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

市場確率

Dalibor Svrcina100.0%
Completed Match100.0%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard0.1%

Volume: $312,737

Total Vol: $312,73724h: $312,148Liquidity: $115,194

確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。

マーケット概要

This market refers to the tennis match between Dalibor Svrcina and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Bratislava 2, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. — Odds: Dalibor Svrcina 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 0.1%

データ出典: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 11일 오후 06:00

D-5

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Dalibor Svrcina" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Dalibor Svrcina (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Completed Match (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case0%

Low probability scenario (0%)

Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 6 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 6 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
元のソース

Polymarket

この分析はPolymarket予測市場データに基づいています。

View on Polymarket
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This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. — Odds: Jan-Lennard Struff 100.0% · Thiago Agustin Tirante 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0%

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