M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Gavin Goode vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
6d 19h left
Volume: $252K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Gavin Goode vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez

市場確率

Gavin Goode100.0%
Johan Alexander Rodriguez0.1%

Volume: $251,896

Total Vol: $251,89624h: $251,896Liquidity: $18,504

確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。

マーケット概要

This market refers to the tennis match between Gavin Goode and Johan Alexander Rodriguez in the M15 Hilton Head Island, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. — Odds: Gavin Goode 100.0% · Johan Alexander Rodriguez 0.1%

データ出典: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 13일 오전 12:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Gavin Goode" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Gavin Goode (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case0%

Johan Alexander Rodriguez (0%)

Alternative scenario with 0% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case0%

Low probability scenario (0%)

Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
元のソース

Polymarket

この分析はPolymarket予測市場データに基づいています。

View on Polymarket
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This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Taylor Fritz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. — Odds: Taylor Fritz 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Over 100.0% · Under 2.5 85.5% · Completed Match 57.5%

·Polymarket