What price will Bitcoin hit on November 6?
市場確率
Volume: $153,028
確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。
マーケット概要
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 6? — Odds: ↓ 75,000 56.5% · ↑ 77,000 56.0% · ↓ 74,000 25.5% · ↑ 78,000 24.5% · ↓ 73,000 11.5%
データ出典: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 7일 오후 02:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "↓ 75,000" scenario leads at 56%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
↓ 75,000 (56%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (56%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 36%
↑ 77,000 (56%)
Alternative scenario with 56% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
↓ 74,000 (26%)
Currently rated at 26%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution expected tomorrow
Related Assets
- •BTC: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels
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