FutureRadar
Tennis·Sports·Games

Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
6d 22h left
Volume: $466K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
共有:
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata

市場確率

Luca Van Assche100.0%
Over100.0%
Under100.0%
Over 2.584.0%
Rinky Hijikata82.5%
Completed Match55.0%
Under 2.516.0%

Volume: $465,793

Total Vol: $465,79324h: $521,594Liquidity: $371,214

確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。

マーケット概要

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Rinky Hijikata in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. — Odds: Luca Van Assche 100.0% · Over 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Over 2.5 84.0% · Rinky Hijikata 82.5%

データ出典: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 13일 오후 11:30

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Luca Van Assche" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Luca Van Assche (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Over (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

Under (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
元のソース

Polymarket

この分析はPolymarket予測市場データに基づいています。

View on Polymarket
次の記事
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
Tennis·D-6

Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul

This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Tommy Paul in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: Ben Shelton 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Tommy Paul 0.1%

·Polymarket