Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?
市場確率
Volume: $178,911
確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。
マーケット概要
Kai Cenat is scheduled to begin a Grand Theft Auto marathon on November 5, 2026, with the stated goal of playing Grand Theft Auto III, Grand Theft Auto: Vice City, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Grand Theft Auto IV, and Grand Theft Auto V on stream. — Odds: November 16 94.2% · November 14 86.0% · November 13 76.5% · November 12 57.0% · November 11 34.5%
データ出典: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 17일 오후 01:59
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "November 16" scenario leads at 94%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
November 16 (94%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (94%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 74%
November 14 (86%)
Alternative scenario with 86% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
November 13 (77%)
Currently rated at 77%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in ~2 weeks (medium-term)
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