Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
市場確率
Volume: $653,721
確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。
マーケット概要
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. — Odds: Over 82.0% · Carlos Alcaraz 67.5% · Taylor Fritz 61.0% · Under 2.5 55.5% · Completed Match 55.0%
データ出典: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 14일 오전 03:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 82%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Over (82%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (82%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 62%
Carlos Alcaraz (68%)
Alternative scenario with 68% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Taylor Fritz (61%)
Currently rated at 61%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
This market refers to the tennis match between Dalibor Svrcina and Zsombor Piros in the Bratislava 2, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. — Odds: Dalibor Svrcina 100.0% · Completed Match 99.5% · Zsombor Piros 0.5%