Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
市場確率
Volume: $233,702
確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。
マーケット概要
This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. — Odds: Carlos Alcaraz 76.5% · Over 63.5% · Under 2.5 62.5% · Under 57.0% · Completed Match 52.0%
データ出典: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 15일 오후 11:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Carlos Alcaraz" scenario leads at 77%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Carlos Alcaraz (77%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (77%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 57%
Over (64%)
Alternative scenario with 64% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Under 2.5 (63%)
Currently rated at 63%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Borna Gojo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. — Odds: Borna Gojo 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Nikoloz Basilashvili 0.1%