FutureRadar
Tennis·Sports·Games

Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
6d 16h left
Volume: $178K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
共有:
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko

市場確率

Patrick Zahraj100.0%
Under 2.5100.0%
Under99.6%
Completed Match99.6%
Over0.4%
Sebastian Dominko0.4%
Over 2.50.1%

Volume: $177,814

Total Vol: $177,81424h: $177,814Liquidity: $81,677

確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。

マーケット概要

This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Zahraj and Sebastian Dominko in the Knoxville, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 2:40PM ET. — Odds: Patrick Zahraj 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Under 99.6% · Completed Match 99.6% · Over 0.4%

データ出典: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 16일 오전 04:40

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Patrick Zahraj" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Patrick Zahraj (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Under 2.5 (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

Under (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
元のソース

Polymarket

この分析はPolymarket予測市場データに基づいています。

View on Polymarket
次の記事
Knoxville: Jamie Mackenzie vs Lui Maxted
Tennis·D-7

Knoxville: Jamie Mackenzie vs Lui Maxted

This market refers to the tennis match between Jamie Mackenzie and Lui Maxted in the Knoxville, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. — Odds: Lui Maxted 100.0% · Completed Match 99.6% · Jamie Mackenzie 0.1%

·Polymarket