What price will Ethereum hit November 9-15?

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
5d 18h left
Volume: $109K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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What price will Ethereum hit November 9-15?

市場確率

↑ 2,20048.0%
↓ 2,00044.5%
↑ 2,30015.5%
↓ 1,90013.5%
↑ 2,4005.5%
↓ 1,8004.6%
↑ 2,5003.5%
↓ 1,7002.3%

Volume: $108,600

Total Vol: $108,60024h: $107,521Liquidity: $95,270

確率は集団的な市場センチメントを反映しています。投資アドバイスではありません。

マーケット概要

What price will Ethereum hit November 9-15? — Odds: ↑ 2,200 48.0% · ↓ 2,000 44.5% · ↑ 2,300 15.5% · ↓ 1,900 13.5% · ↑ 2,400 5.5%

データ出典: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 16일 오후 02:00

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "↑ 2,200" scenario leads at 48%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case48%

↑ 2,200 (48%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (48%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 30%

Base Case45%

↓ 2,000 (45%)

Alternative scenario with 45% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case16%

Low probability scenario (16%)

Currently rated at 16%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 6 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 6 days (short-term)

Related Assets

  • •ETH: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels
This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
元のソース

Polymarket

この分析はPolymarket予測市場データに基づいています。

View on Polymarket
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What price will Ethereum hit on November 9?
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What price will Ethereum hit on November 9?

What price will Ethereum hit on November 9? — Odds: ↑ 2,250 0.1% · ↓ 1,850 0.1%

·Polymarket