Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
Market Probabilities
Volume: $501,687
Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.
Market Overview
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between TheMongolz and Heroic in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. — Odds: TheMongolz 94.5% · Under 86.0% · Heroic 74.5% · Over 50.5%
Based on Polymarket data.
Market End
Live11월 3일 오후 11:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "TheMongolz" scenario leads at 95%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
TheMongolz (95%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (95%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 75%
Under (86%)
Alternative scenario with 86% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Heroic (75%)
Currently rated at 75%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution expected tomorrow
Polymarket
This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.
View on Polymarket