Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
Market Probabilities
Volume: $517,857
Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.
Market Overview
This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Arthur Rinderknech in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. — Odds: Arthur Rinderknech 99.6% · Ben Shelton 66.5% · Completed Match 53.5%
Based on Polymarket data.
Market End
Live11월 12일 오후 06:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Arthur Rinderknech" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Arthur Rinderknech (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Ben Shelton (67%)
Alternative scenario with 67% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Completed Match (54%)
Currently rated at 54%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.
View on Polymarket
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
This market refers to the tennis match between Mika Stojsavljevic and Zeynep Sonmez in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. — Odds: Zeynep Sonmez 100.0% · Mika Stojsavljevic 100.0% · Over 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0%