Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

FutureRadar Desk
3 min readPolymarket
4h 47m left
Volume: $195K
원문·근거: Polymarket ↗
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Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

Market Probabilities

HULIGANI96.0%
Yellow Submarine63.0%
Over58.0%
Under50.0%
Ends in Daytime50.0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50.0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%
Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%

Volume: $195,324

Total Vol: $195,32424h: $257,595Liquidity: $19,841

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between HULIGANI and Yellow Submarine in the 1win Essence Play-in Group B, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. — Odds: HULIGANI 96.0% · Yellow Submarine 63.0% · Over 58.0% · Under 50.0% · Ends in Daytime 50.0%

Based on Polymarket data.

Market End

Live

11월 9일 오전 04:15

D-1

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "HULIGANI" scenario leads at 96%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case96%

HULIGANI (96%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (96%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 76%

Base Case63%

Yellow Submarine (63%)

Alternative scenario with 63% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case58%

Over (58%)

Currently rated at 58%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution expected tomorrow

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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