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Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

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Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

Market Probabilities

LEGION76.0%
Yellow Submarine73.0%
Over50.5%
Under50.0%
Ends in Daytime50.0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50.0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%
Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%

Volume: $238,588

Total Vol: $238,58824h: $268,268Liquidity: $22,049

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Yellow Submarine and LEGION in the 1win Essence Play-in Group B, initially scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. — Odds: LEGION 76.0% · Yellow Submarine 73.0% · Over 50.5% · Under 50.0% · Ends in Daytime 50.0%

Based on Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 11일 오전 01:00

D-1

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "LEGION" scenario leads at 76%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case76%

LEGION (76%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (76%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 56%

Base Case73%

Yellow Submarine (73%)

Alternative scenario with 73% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case51%

Over (51%)

Currently rated at 51%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution expected tomorrow

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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