Hersonissos 3: Adrian Andreev vs Benjamin Pietri

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6d 20h left
Wolumen: $566K
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Hersonissos 3: Adrian Andreev vs Benjamin Pietri

Market Probabilities

Adrian Andreev88.5%
Benjamin Pietri50.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Under 2.550.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%

Volume: $566,285

Total Vol: $566,28524h: $589,097Liquidity: $76,272

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Andreev and Benjamin Pietri in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. — Odds: Adrian Andreev 88.5% · Benjamin Pietri 50.0% · Over 2.5 50.0% · Under 2.5 50.0% · Over 50.0%

Based on Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 17일 오후 09:30

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Adrian Andreev" scenario leads at 89%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case89%

Adrian Andreev (89%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (89%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 69%

Base Case50%

Benjamin Pietri (50%)

Alternative scenario with 50% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case50%

Over 2.5 (50%)

Currently rated at 50%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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Hersonissos 3: Remy Bertola vs Lorenzo Carboni
Tennis·D-6

Hersonissos 3: Remy Bertola vs Lorenzo Carboni

This market refers to the tennis match between Remy Bertola and Lorenzo Carboni in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. — Odds: Lorenzo Carboni 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Remy Bertola 0.1% · Over 2.5 0.1%

·Polymarket