Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

Market Probabilities

Spirit73.5%
Under73.0%
G257.5%
Over48.0%

Volume: $200,803

Total Vol: $200,80324h: $201,260Liquidity: $304,556

Probabilities reflect collective market sentiment. Not investment advice.

Market Overview

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Spirit and G2 in the BLAST Rivals Group B, initially scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. — Odds: Spirit 73.5% · Under 73.0% · G2 57.5% · Over 48.0%

Based on Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 13일 오전 12:30

D-1

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Spirit" scenario leads at 74%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case74%

Spirit (74%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (74%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 54%

Base Case73%

Under (73%)

Alternative scenario with 73% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case57%

G2 (57%)

Currently rated at 57%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution expected tomorrow

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Original Source

Polymarket

This analysis is based on Polymarket prediction market data.

View on Polymarket
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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between FUT Esports and MOUZ in the BLAST Rivals Group B, initially scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. — Odds: MOUZ 84.5% · Under 75.0% · FUT Esports 50.0% · Over 45.0%

·Polymarket