Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart
Probabilidades do mercado
Volume: $751,736
As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.
Visão geral do mercado
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Harriet Dart in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. — Odds: Harriet Dart 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Lilli Tagger 0.1%
Fonte de dados: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 8일 오후 05:30
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Harriet Dart" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Harriet Dart (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Completed Match (100%)
Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (0%)
Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 5 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 5 days (short-term)
Polymarket
Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.
View on Polymarket