Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

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Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

Probabilidades do mercado

TheMongolz100.0%
Under66.0%
Heroic50.0%
Over50.0%

Volume: $796,693

Total Vol: $796,69324h: $827,985Liquidity: $154,460

As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.

Visão geral do mercado

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between TheMongolz and Heroic in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. — Odds: TheMongolz 100.0% · Under 66.0% · Heroic 50.0% · Over 50.0%

Fonte de dados: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 3일 오후 11:00

D-Day

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "TheMongolz" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

TheMongolz (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case66%

Under (66%)

Alternative scenario with 66% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case50%

Heroic (50%)

Currently rated at 50%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution expected tomorrow

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
Fonte original

Polymarket

Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.

View on Polymarket