What price will Bitcoin hit on November 11?
Probabilidades do mercado
Volume: $204,711
As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.
Visão geral do mercado
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 11? — Odds: ↓ 73,000 38.0% · ↑ 75,000 31.0% · ↓ 72,000 11.5% · ↑ 76,000 6.3% · ↓ 71,000 3.0%
Fonte de dados: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 12일 오후 02:00
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "↓ 73,000" scenario leads at 38%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
↓ 73,000 (38%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (38%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 30%
↑ 75,000 (31%)
Alternative scenario with 31% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (12%)
Currently rated at 12%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution expected tomorrow
Related Assets
- •BTC: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels
Polymarket
Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.
View on Polymarket
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