BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel
Probabilidades do mercado
Volume: $227,707
As probabilidades refletem o sentimento coletivo do mercado. Não é aconselhamento de investimento.
Visão geral do mercado
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Toby Samuel in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. — Odds: Lorenzo Musetti 100.0% · Under 78.0% · Under 2.5 75.5% · Over 58.5% · Toby Samuel 31.0%
Fonte de dados: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 18일 오전 03:30
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Lorenzo Musetti" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Lorenzo Musetti (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Under (78%)
Alternative scenario with 78% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Under 2.5 (76%)
Currently rated at 76%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution in 7 days
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution in 7 days (short-term)
Polymarket
Esta análise é baseada em dados do mercado de previsão Polymarket.
View on Polymarket
Lima: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Nicolas Jarry
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo and Nicolas Jarry in the Lima, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. — Odds: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 100.0% · Nicolas Jarry 0.1%