Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry

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Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry

ความน่าจะเป็นของตลาด

Rinky Hijikata100.0%
Completed Match100.0%
Tomas Etcheverry0.1%

Volume: $728,969

Total Vol: $728,96924h: $739,685Liquidity: $645,542

ความน่าจะเป็นสะท้อนความรู้สึกโดยรวมของตลาด ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำการลงทุน

ภาพรวมตลาด

This market refers to the tennis match between Rinky Hijikata and Tomas Etcheverry in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. — Odds: Rinky Hijikata 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Tomas Etcheverry 0.1%

แหล่งข้อมูล: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 12일 오후 06:00

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Rinky Hijikata" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Rinky Hijikata (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Completed Match (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case0%

Low probability scenario (0%)

Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
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Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
Tennis·D-6

Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Luca Van Assche in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. — Odds: Over 100.0% · Luca Van Assche 99.9% · Lorenzo Musetti 95.0% · Over 2.5 93.0% · Completed Match 53.0%

·Polymarket