Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche

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Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche

ความน่าจะเป็นของตลาด

Over100.0%
Luca Van Assche99.9%
Lorenzo Musetti95.0%
Over 2.593.0%
Completed Match53.0%
Under50.0%
Under 2.57.0%

Volume: $451,813

Total Vol: $451,81324h: $473,781Liquidity: $225,790

ความน่าจะเป็นสะท้อนความรู้สึกโดยรวมของตลาด ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำการลงทุน

ภาพรวมตลาด

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Luca Van Assche in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. — Odds: Over 100.0% · Luca Van Assche 99.9% · Lorenzo Musetti 95.0% · Over 2.5 93.0% · Completed Match 53.0%

แหล่งข้อมูล: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 12일 오후 06:00

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Over (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Luca Van Assche (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case95%

Lorenzo Musetti (95%)

Currently rated at 95%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
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Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
Tennis·D-6

Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Quentin Halys in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. — Odds: Tommy Paul 100.0% · Quentin Halys 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Under 100.0%

·Polymarket