Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata

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Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata

ความน่าจะเป็นของตลาด

Over100.0%
Luca Van Assche74.5%
Over 2.558.0%
Rinky Hijikata56.0%
Completed Match55.0%
Under50.0%
Under 2.542.0%

Volume: $757,273

Total Vol: $757,27324h: $789,863Liquidity: $328,556

ความน่าจะเป็นสะท้อนความรู้สึกโดยรวมของตลาด ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำการลงทุน

ภาพรวมตลาด

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Rinky Hijikata in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. — Odds: Over 100.0% · Luca Van Assche 74.5% · Over 2.5 58.0% · Rinky Hijikata 56.0% · Completed Match 55.0%

แหล่งข้อมูล: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 13일 오후 11:30

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Over (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case75%

Luca Van Assche (75%)

Alternative scenario with 75% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case58%

Over 2.5 (58%)

Currently rated at 58%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
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Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
Tennis·D-6

Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul

This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Tommy Paul in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: Ben Shelton 100.0% · Completed Match 100.0% · Tommy Paul 0.1%

·Polymarket