LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

ความน่าจะเป็นของตลาด

T185.5%
Over75.5%
Under67.0%
Bilibili Gaming56.5%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%
Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%

Volume: $286,127

Total Vol: $286,12724h: $261,207Liquidity: $660,182

ความน่าจะเป็นสะท้อนความรู้สึกโดยรวมของตลาด ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำการลงทุน

ภาพรวมตลาด

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. — Odds: T1 85.5% · Over 75.5% · Under 67.0% · Bilibili Gaming 56.5% · Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50.0%

แหล่งข้อมูล: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 9일 오후 01:00

D-1

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "T1" scenario leads at 86%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case86%

T1 (86%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (86%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 66%

Base Case76%

Over (76%)

Alternative scenario with 76% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case67%

Under (67%)

Currently rated at 67%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution expected tomorrow

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
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