Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady

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Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady

ความน่าจะเป็นของตลาด

Over99.6%
Billy Harris90.5%
Completed Match55.0%
Liam Broady50.0%
Under0.4%

Volume: $177,149

Total Vol: $177,14924h: $178,353Liquidity: $129,680

ความน่าจะเป็นสะท้อนความรู้สึกโดยรวมของตลาด ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำการลงทุน

ภาพรวมตลาด

This market refers to the tennis match between Billy Harris and Liam Broady in the Matsuyama, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. — Odds: Over 99.6% · Billy Harris 90.5% · Completed Match 55.0% · Liam Broady 50.0% · Under 0.4%

แหล่งข้อมูล: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 16일 오전 09:00

D-7

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Over" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Over (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case91%

Billy Harris (91%)

Alternative scenario with 91% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case55%

Completed Match (55%)

Currently rated at 55%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
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อัปเดต: 9 พ.ย.
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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 9?
Weather·D-Day

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 9?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport (ZGSZ) on 9 Nov '26. — Odds: 28°C 99.9% · 27°C 0.1% · 26°C 0.1% · 25°C 0.1% · 24°C 0.1%

·Polymarket