BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys

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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys

ความน่าจะเป็นของตลาด

Lorenzo Sonego100.0%
Under100.0%
Under 2.5100.0%
Quentin Halys0.1%
Over0.1%
Over 2.50.1%

Volume: $824,172

Total Vol: $824,17224h: $821,978Liquidity: $426,707

ความน่าจะเป็นสะท้อนความรู้สึกโดยรวมของตลาด ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำการลงทุน

ภาพรวมตลาด

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Quentin Halys in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. — Odds: Lorenzo Sonego 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Quentin Halys 0.1% · Over 0.1%

แหล่งข้อมูล: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 17일 오후 07:00

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Lorenzo Sonego" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Lorenzo Sonego (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case100%

Under (100%)

Alternative scenario with 100% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case100%

Under 2.5 (100%)

Currently rated at 100%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
Tennis·D-5

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo

This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Borna Gojo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: Borna Gojo 100.0% · Under 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Tomas Machac 0.1% · Over 0.1%

·Polymarket