M15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria: David Aguiar Johansson vs David Vega Hernandez

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M15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria: David Aguiar Johansson vs David Vega Hernandez

ความน่าจะเป็นของตลาด

David Aguiar Johansson100.0%
David Vega Hernandez0.1%

Volume: $410,804

Total Vol: $410,80424h: $415,400Liquidity: $163,635

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ภาพรวมตลาด

This market refers to the tennis match between David Aguiar Johansson and David Vega Hernandez in the M15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: David Aguiar Johansson 100.0% · David Vega Hernandez 0.1%

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Market End

Live

11월 17일 오후 10:00

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "David Aguiar Johansson" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

David Aguiar Johansson (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case0%

David Vega Hernandez (0%)

Alternative scenario with 0% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case0%

Low probability scenario (0%)

Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
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