Hersonissos 3: Adrian Andreev vs Benjamin Pietri

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ปริมาณ: $566K
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Hersonissos 3: Adrian Andreev vs Benjamin Pietri

ความน่าจะเป็นของตลาด

Adrian Andreev88.5%
Benjamin Pietri50.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Under 2.550.0%
Over50.0%
Under50.0%

Volume: $566,285

Total Vol: $566,28524h: $589,097Liquidity: $76,272

ความน่าจะเป็นสะท้อนความรู้สึกโดยรวมของตลาด ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำการลงทุน

ภาพรวมตลาด

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Andreev and Benjamin Pietri in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. — Odds: Adrian Andreev 88.5% · Benjamin Pietri 50.0% · Over 2.5 50.0% · Under 2.5 50.0% · Over 50.0%

แหล่งข้อมูล: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 17일 오후 09:30

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Adrian Andreev" scenario leads at 89%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case89%

Adrian Andreev (89%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (89%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 69%

Base Case50%

Benjamin Pietri (50%)

Alternative scenario with 50% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case50%

Over 2.5 (50%)

Currently rated at 50%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
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Hersonissos 3: Remy Bertola vs Lorenzo Carboni
Tennis·D-6

Hersonissos 3: Remy Bertola vs Lorenzo Carboni

This market refers to the tennis match between Remy Bertola and Lorenzo Carboni in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. — Odds: Lorenzo Carboni 100.0% · Under 2.5 100.0% · Remy Bertola 0.1% · Over 2.5 0.1%

·Polymarket