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Tennis·Sports·Games

Orleans: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier

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Orleans: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier

ความน่าจะเป็นของตลาด

Daniel Altmaier100.0%
Adrien Gobat0.1%

Volume: $169,631

Total Vol: $169,63124h: $177,889Liquidity: $261,046

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ภาพรวมตลาด

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Daniel Altmaier in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. — Odds: Daniel Altmaier 100.0% · Adrien Gobat 0.1%

แหล่งข้อมูล: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 17일 오후 10:00

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Daniel Altmaier" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Daniel Altmaier (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case0%

Adrien Gobat (0%)

Alternative scenario with 0% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case0%

Low probability scenario (0%)

Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
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Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Dusan Lajovic
Tennis·D-6

Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Dusan Lajovic

This market refers to the tennis match between Buvaysar Gadamauri and Dusan Lajovic in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. — Odds: Buvaysar Gadamauri 100.0% · Dusan Lajovic 50.5% · Over 50.0% · Under 50.0% · Over 2.5 50.0%

·Polymarket