BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo

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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo

ความน่าจะเป็นของตลาด

Alejandro Tabilo100.0%
Lorenzo Sonego0.1%

Volume: $1,325,266

Total Vol: $1,325,26624h: $1,327,422Liquidity: $472,652

ความน่าจะเป็นสะท้อนความรู้สึกโดยรวมของตลาด ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำการลงทุน

ภาพรวมตลาด

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Alejandro Tabilo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. — Odds: Alejandro Tabilo 100.0% · Lorenzo Sonego 0.1%

แหล่งข้อมูล: Polymarket.

Market End

Live

11월 18일 오후 09:00

D-6

Time to market close

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What It Means for Traders

Market consensus: "Alejandro Tabilo" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case100%

Alejandro Tabilo (100%)

The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.

Triggers:
  • →Official announcement or confirmation
  • →Positive comments from relevant authorities
  • →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Invalidation:

Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%

Base Case0%

Lorenzo Sonego (0%)

Alternative scenario with 0% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.

Triggers:
  • →Data release contradicting initial expectations
  • →Shift in position by key stakeholders
  • →Gradual change in market sentiment
Invalidation:

New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift

Bear Case0%

Low probability scenario (0%)

Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.

Triggers:
  • →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
  • →Major system failure or security incident
  • →Global macro shock event
Invalidation:

Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes

Key Catalysts to Watch

  • •Resolution in 7 days
  • •Related official announcements or data releases
  • •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities

Timeline to Resolution

Resolution in 7 days (short-term)

This analysis is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. All trading decisions should be made based on your own judgment and risk tolerance.
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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
Tennis·D-6

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Shevchenko and Casper Ruud in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. — Odds: Casper Ruud 83.5% · Under 2.5 68.0% · Under 59.5% · Over 58.5% · Alexander Shevchenko 38.5%

·Polymarket