Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
市場機率
Volume: $1,381,192
機率反映集體市場情緒，不構成投資建議。
市場概覽
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between FURIA and Natus Vincere in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. — Odds: Natus Vincere 100.0% · Over 64.5% · FURIA 63.5% · Under 52.5%
數據來源: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 4일 오전 01:15
Time to market close
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "Natus Vincere" scenario leads at 100%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
Natus Vincere (100%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (100%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 80%
Over (65%)
Alternative scenario with 65% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
FURIA (64%)
Currently rated at 64%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Resolution expected tomorrow