What price will Bitcoin hit on November 3?
市場機率
Volume: $587,075
機率反映集體市場情緒，不構成投資建議。
市場概覽
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 3? — Odds: ↑ 79,000 0.1% · ↓ 75,000 0.1% · ↓ 74,000 0.1% · ↓ 72,000 0.1% · ↓ 73,000 0.1%
數據來源: Polymarket.
Market End
Live11월 4일 오후 02:00
Market ended
What It Means for Traders
Market consensus: "↑ 79,000" scenario leads at 0%. Expect volatility spike if outcome diverges from expectations.
Scenario Analysis
↑ 79,000 (0%)
The scenario expected by the majority of market participants (0%). If confirmed, the market will likely move on quickly to the next catalyst.
- →Official announcement or confirmation
- →Positive comments from relevant authorities
- →Prediction probability rises above 85%
Reassess if leading scenario probability drops below 30%
↓ 75,000 (0%)
Alternative scenario with 0% probability. New information or events could strengthen this direction.
- →Data release contradicting initial expectations
- →Shift in position by key stakeholders
- →Gradual change in market sentiment
New decisive information emerges causing sharp probability shift
Low probability scenario (0%)
Currently rated at 0%, but could trigger the largest market reaction if realized.
- →Unexpected regulatory announcement or legal action
- →Major system failure or security incident
- →Global macro shock event
Key risk factors are resolved and market stabilizes
Key Catalysts to Watch
- •Resolution imminent (within 24 hours)
- •Related official announcements or data releases
- •Sharp movements in prediction market probabilities
Timeline to Resolution
Awaiting resolution or already resolved
Related Assets
- •BTC: Monitor price action and key support/resistance levels
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